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In a club with 12 male and 8 female​ members, a 5​-member committee will be randomly chosen. Find the probability that the committee contains all men.

Sagot :

The probability that the 5-member committee contains all men is; P(all men) = 0.051

According to the question, the club is made up of 12 male and 8 female members.

  • Total number of members = 12 + 8 = 20 members.

If the 5-member committee will contain all men; the probability is thus;

Since, the probability is without replacement, after each selection, the number of male members and the total number of members reduces by 1 each time.

Therefore, the probability is as follows;

  • (12/20) × (11/19) × (10/18) × (9/17) × (8/16).

Ultimately, the algebraic sum of the expression above yields the probability that the 5-member committee contains all men.

P(all men) = 95040/1860480

P(all men) = 33/646.

P(all men) = 0.051

Read more:

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Applying the hypergeometric distribution, it is found that there is a 0.0511 = 5.11% probability that the committee contains all men.

The members are chosen without replacement, which means that the hypergeometric distribution is used.

Hypergeometric distribution:

[tex]P(X = x) = h(x,N,n,k) = \frac{C_{k,x}*C_{N-k,n-x}}{C_{N,n}}[/tex]

[tex]C_{n,x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}[/tex]

The parameters are:

  • x is the number of successes.
  • N is the size of the population.
  • n is the size of the sample.
  • k is the total number of desired outcomes.  

In this problem:

  • 12 + 8 = 20 members, thus [tex]N = 20[/tex]
  • 5 are chosen, thus [tex]n = 5[/tex]
  • 12 are male, thus [tex]k = 12[/tex]
  • The probability of an all-male committee is P(X = 5), then:

[tex]P(X = x) = h(x,N,n,k) = \frac{C_{k,x}*C_{N-k,n-x}}{C_{N,n}}[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 5) = h(5,20,5,12) = \frac{C_{12,5}*C_{8,0}}{C_{20,5}} = 0.0511[/tex]

0.0511 = 5.11% probability that the committee contains all men.

A similar problem is given at https://brainly.com/question/24271316