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The current value of the debt based on the probability given about Houston homes is $47.90.
From the information given, the expected payment to debt holders will be:
= ($62 × 75%) + ($24 × 25%)
= $46.50 + $6
= $52.50
The current value of the debt will be:
= 52.50 / (1 + 9.6%)
= 52.50/1.096
= $47.90
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