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We would apply the formula for calculating the expectation of the mean or expected value which is expressed as
Ex = ΣxP(x)
In this scenario, from the information given,
12000 is profit at 50%
Breakeven mean = 0 because there is no profit or loss' at 20%
loss = - 6600 at 30 %
Thus,
Expectation = 50/100 * 12000 + 20/100 * 0 + 30/100 * 6600
Expectation = 6000 + 0 + 1980
Expectation = 7980
the expectation of this purchase is $7980