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Mrs. Gomes found that 40% of students at her high school take chemistry. She randomly surveys 12 students. What is the probability that exactly 4 students have taken chemistry? Round the answer to the nearest thousandth.

[tex]\[ P(k \text{ successes}) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \][/tex]
[tex]\[ \binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{(n-k)!k!} \][/tex]

A. 0.005
B. 0.008
C. 0.213
D. 0.227


Sagot :

Sure, let's go through this step-by-step to solve the problem:

Given:
- The probability [tex]\( p \)[/tex] that a student has taken chemistry is [tex]\( 0.40 \)[/tex] (40%).
- Mrs. Gomes surveys [tex]\( n = 12 \)[/tex] students.
- We want to find the probability that exactly [tex]\( k = 4 \)[/tex] students have taken chemistry.

1. Understanding the Problem:
The problem asks us to find the probability of exactly 4 successes (students who have taken chemistry) out of 12 trials (students surveyed) when the probability of success in each trial is 0.40.

2. Using the Binomial Probability Formula:
The formula for the binomial probability of getting exactly [tex]\( k \)[/tex] successes in [tex]\( n \)[/tex] trials is given by:

[tex]\[ P(k \text{ successes}) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \][/tex]

Where:
- [tex]\(\binom{n}{k}\)[/tex] is the binomial coefficient, and it represents the number of ways to choose [tex]\( k \)[/tex] successes out of [tex]\( n \)[/tex] trials.
- [tex]\( p \)[/tex] is the probability of success on a single trial.
- [tex]\( (1-p) \)[/tex] is the probability of failure on a single trial.

3. Calculating the Binomial Coefficient:
The binomial coefficient [tex]\(\binom{n}{k}\)[/tex] is found using:

[tex]\[ \binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k! (n-k)!} \][/tex]

For [tex]\( n = 12 \)[/tex] and [tex]\( k = 4 \)[/tex]:

[tex]\[ \binom{12}{4} = \frac{12!}{4! (12-4)!} = \frac{12!}{4! \cdot 8!} \][/tex]

Using the given answer, the value of the binomial coefficient is 495.

4. Calculating the Probability:
Now, we use the binomial probability formula:

[tex]\[ P(4 \text{ successes}) = \binom{12}{4} \cdot (0.40)^4 \cdot (1-0.40)^{12-4} \][/tex]

Substituting the values, we get:

[tex]\[ P(4 \text{ successes}) = 495 \cdot (0.40)^4 \cdot (0.60)^8 \][/tex]

Evaluating the expression, we find the probability to be approximately 0.21284093951999997.

5. Rounding the Answer:
The problem requires us to round the answer to the nearest thousandth:

[tex]\[ 0.21284093951999997 \approx 0.213 \][/tex]

Conclusion:
The probability that exactly 4 students out of 12 have taken chemistry, rounded to the nearest thousandth, is [tex]\( \boxed{0.213} \)[/tex].