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This table shows the population of owls in a park in different years. The quadratic regression equation that models these data is [tex]y = -1.34 x^2 + 10.75 x - 11.3[/tex].

\begin{tabular}{|c|c|}
\hline
\begin{tabular}{c}
[tex]$x$[/tex] \\
Year
\end{tabular} & \begin{tabular}{c}
[tex]$y$[/tex] \\
Number of \\
owls
\end{tabular} \\
\hline
1 & 0 \\
\hline
2 & 2 \\
\hline
3 & 7 \\
\hline
4 & 14 \\
\hline
5 & 9 \\
\hline
6 & 4 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}

Using this model, the predicted number of owls in year 9 is about -23. Does this prediction make sense? Why or why not?

A. Yes, because the owl population is endangered.
B. Yes, because that is the result of substituting [tex]x = 9[/tex].
C. No, because you can't have a negative number of owls.
D. No, because the owls went to live somewhere else.


Sagot :

To determine if the prediction of the number of owls in year 9 using the given quadratic regression model makes sense, we need to follow these steps:

1. Identify the Model: The quadratic regression equation given is [tex]\( y = -1.34x^2 + 10.75x - 11.3 \)[/tex].

2. Substitute Year into the Model: Substitute [tex]\( x = 9 \)[/tex] into the model to predict the number of owls in year 9.
[tex]\[ y = -1.34(9)^2 + 10.75(9) - 11.3 \][/tex]

3. Calculate the Predicted Number of Owls:
- First, calculate [tex]\( 9^2 \)[/tex]:
[tex]\[ 9^2 = 81 \][/tex]
- Then, multiply by the coefficient of [tex]\( x^2 \)[/tex]:
[tex]\[ -1.34 \times 81 = -108.54 \][/tex]
- Next, multiply [tex]\( 10.75 \)[/tex] by [tex]\( 9 \)[/tex]:
[tex]\[ 10.75 \times 9 = 96.75 \][/tex]
- Finally, add the results and subtract [tex]\( 11.3 \)[/tex]:
[tex]\[ y = -108.54 + 96.75 - 11.3 \][/tex]
[tex]\[ y = -23.09 \][/tex]

4. Interpret the Result: The predicted number of owls for year 9 is [tex]\( -23.09 \)[/tex].

5. Analyze the Prediction:
- A predicted result of [tex]\( -23.09 \)[/tex] owls is not realistic because a population cannot be negative.
- This indicates that the model's prediction for year 9 does not make sense.

6. Conclusion: Given that a negative number of owls is not possible in a realistic context, the prediction does not make sense. Therefore, the best choice among the provided options is:

C. No, because you can't have a negative number of owls.