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50. The data below represents the number of passengers at an airport since 1980. Which is closest to the number of passengers that can be expected in 2013?

\begin{tabular}{|c|c|}
\hline
Year & \begin{tabular}{c}
Number of \\
Passengers \\
(Millions)
\end{tabular} \\
\hline
1980 & 30.4 \\
\hline
1985 & 44.2 \\
\hline
1989 & 48.1 \\
\hline
1995 & 55.3 \\
\hline
1998 & 62.8 \\
\hline
2005 & 77.5 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}

F. 82 million
G. 86 million
H. 90 million
J. 94 million

Select one:
a. F
b. G
c. H
d. J


Sagot :

To determine the number of passengers expected in 2013 based on the given data, we utilize linear regression, which is a method to model the relationship between two variables by fitting a linear equation to the observed data.

### Step-by-Step Solution:

1. List the Data:

| Year | Passengers (Millions) |
|------|-----------------------|
| 1980 | 30.4 |
| 1985 | 44.2 |
| 1989 | 48.1 |
| 1995 | 55.3 |
| 1998 | 62.8 |
| 2005 | 77.5 |

2. Identify Variables:

- Let `x` represent the year.
- Let `y` represent the number of passengers in millions.

3. Determine the Linear Regression Equation:

The linear regression equation follows the form [tex]\(y = mx + b\)[/tex], where:
- [tex]\(m\)[/tex] is the slope of the line.
- [tex]\(b\)[/tex] is the intercept of the line.

4. Calculate Slope (m) and Intercept (b):

From the data provided and the linear regression analysis, we find the slope ([tex]\(m\)[/tex]) and the intercept ([tex]\(b\)[/tex]):

- Slope ([tex]\(m\)[/tex]) = 1.7588942307692894
- Intercept ([tex]\(b\)[/tex]) = -3450.667307692425

5. Estimate the Number of Passengers in 2013:

Substitute [tex]\(x = 2013\)[/tex] into the linear equation [tex]\(y = mx + b\)[/tex]:

[tex]\[ y = 1.7588942307692894 \times 2013 + (-3450.667307692425) \][/tex]

[tex]\[ y \approx 89.98677884615472 \][/tex]

Thus, the estimated number of passengers in 2013 is approximately 90 million.

6. Select the Closest Option:

Among the given options:
- F. 82 million
- G. 86 million
- H. 90 million
- J. 94 million

The closest option to 90 million is H. 90 million.

### Conclusion:

The correct choice for the number of passengers expected in 2013 is:

c. H