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Suppose a normal distribution has a mean of 266 and a standard deviation of 12. What is [tex]$P(x \geq 278)$[/tex]?

A. 0.16
B. 0.475
C. 0.84
D. 0.975


Sagot :

To determine the probability [tex]\( P(x \geq 278) \)[/tex] for a normally distributed variable [tex]\( x \)[/tex] with a mean of 266 and a standard deviation of 12, follow these steps:

1. Identify the given parameters:
- Mean ([tex]\(\mu\)[/tex]) = 266
- Standard deviation ([tex]\(\sigma\)[/tex]) = 12
- Value of interest ([tex]\(x\)[/tex]) = 278

2. Calculate the z-score for [tex]\( x = 278 \)[/tex]:
The z-score formula for a given [tex]\( x \)[/tex] is:
[tex]\[ z = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma} \][/tex]
Plugging in the values:
[tex]\[ z = \frac{278 - 266}{12} = \frac{12}{12} = 1.0 \][/tex]

3. Find the cumulative probability for the z-score ( [tex]\( P(Z \leq 1.0) \)[/tex] ):
Using standard normal distribution tables or a calculator, the cumulative probability for [tex]\( z = 1.0 \)[/tex] is approximately 0.8413. This represents the probability that [tex]\( x \leq 278 \)[/tex].

4. Determine the probability [tex]\( P(x \geq 278) \)[/tex]:
Since we need the probability that [tex]\( x \geq 278 \)[/tex], we need to find [tex]\( 1 - P(x \leq 278) \)[/tex]:
[tex]\[ P(x \geq 278) = 1 - P(x \leq 278) = 1 - 0.8413 = 0.1587 \][/tex]

Thus, the probability [tex]\( P(x \geq 278) \)[/tex] is approximately 0.1587, which rounds to 0.16.

Therefore, the correct answer is:
[tex]\[ \boxed{0.16} \][/tex]