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Find the least squares method.

\begin{tabular}{|l|l|l|l|l|l|}
\hline [tex]$X$[/tex] & 8 & 6 & 4 & 7 & 5 \\
\hline [tex]$Y$[/tex] & 9 & 8 & 5 & 6 & 2 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}

[Ans. [tex]$Y = 1.2x - 1.2, x = 0.4y + 3.6$[/tex]]


Sagot :

Certainly! Let's determine the least squares regression line for the given data points using standard statistical methods. The data points provided are:

[tex]\[ X = [8, 6, 4, 7, 5] \][/tex]
[tex]\[ Y = [9, 8, 5, 6, 2] \][/tex]

### Step 1: Calculate the means of [tex]\( X \)[/tex] and [tex]\( Y \)[/tex]

First, we find the mean (average) of [tex]\( X \)[/tex] and [tex]\( Y \)[/tex].

[tex]\[ X_{\text{mean}} = \frac{8 + 6 + 4 + 7 + 5}{5} = 6.0 \][/tex]
[tex]\[ Y_{\text{mean}} = \frac{9 + 8 + 5 + 6 + 2}{5} = 6.0 \][/tex]

### Step 2: Calculate the covariance of [tex]\( X \)[/tex] and [tex]\( Y \)[/tex]

Covariance measures how much [tex]\( X \)[/tex] and [tex]\( Y \)[/tex] vary together. The formula for covariance is:
[tex]\[ \text{cov}(X, Y) = \sum (X_i - X_{\text{mean}}) (Y_i - Y_{\text{mean}}) \][/tex]

Let's compute it step-by-step:

[tex]\[ \begin{align*} (X_1 - X_{\text{mean}}) (Y_1 - Y_{\text{mean}}) &= (8 - 6.0)(9 - 6.0) = 2 \times 3 = 6 \\ (X_2 - X_{\text{mean}}) (Y_2 - Y_{\text{mean}}) &= (6 - 6.0)(8 - 6.0) = 0 \times 2 = 0 \\ (X_3 - X_{\text{mean}}) (Y_3 - Y_{\text{mean}}) &= (4 - 6.0)(5 - 6.0) = -2 \times -1 = 2 \\ (X_4 - X_{\text{mean}}) (Y_4 - Y_{\text{mean}}) &= (7 - 6.0)(6 - 6.0) = 1 \times 0 = 0 \\ (X_5 - X_{\text{mean}}) (Y_5 - Y_{\text{mean}}) &= (5 - 6.0)(2 - 6.0) = -1 \times -4 = 4 \\ \end{align*} \][/tex]

Sum these values:
[tex]\[ \text{cov}(X, Y) = 6 + 0 + 2 + 0 + 4 = 12.0 \][/tex]

### Step 3: Calculate the variance of [tex]\( X \)[/tex]

Variance measures how much the data points in [tex]\( X \)[/tex] deviate from the mean. The formula for variance is:
[tex]\[ \text{var}(X) = \sum (X_i - X_{\text{mean}})^2 \][/tex]

Let's compute it step-by-step:

[tex]\[ \begin{align*} (X_1 - X_{\text{mean}})^2 &= (8 - 6.0)^2 = 2^2 = 4 \\ (X_2 - X_{\text{mean}})^2 &= (6 - 6.0)^2 = 0^2 = 0 \\ (X_3 - X_{\text{mean}})^2 &= (4 - 6.0)^2 = (-2)^2 = 4 \\ (X_4 - X_{\text{mean}})^2 &= (7 - 6.0)^2 = 1^2 = 1 \\ (X_5 - X_{\text{mean}})^2 &= (5 - 6.0)^2 = (-1)^2 = 1 \\ \end{align*} \][/tex]

Sum these values:
[tex]\[ \text{var}(X) = 4 + 0 + 4 + 1 + 1 = 10.0 \][/tex]

### Step 4: Calculate the slope ([tex]\(\beta\)[/tex]) and intercept ([tex]\(\alpha\)[/tex]) of the regression line

The slope is given by:
[tex]\[ \beta = \frac{\text{cov}(X, Y)}{\text{var}(X)} = \frac{12.0}{10.0} = 1.2 \][/tex]

The intercept is given by:
[tex]\[ \alpha = Y_{\text{mean}} - \beta X_{\text{mean}} = 6.0 - 1.2 \times 6.0 = 6.0 - 7.2 = -1.2 \][/tex]

Thus, the equation of the least squares regression line is:
[tex]\[ Y = 1.2X - 1.2 \][/tex]

### Step 5: Find the inverse relationship

To find the inverse relationship where [tex]\( X \)[/tex] is expressed as a function of [tex]\( Y \)[/tex]:

The slope of the inverse relationship ([tex]\(\beta_{\text{inv}}\)[/tex]) is the reciprocal of [tex]\(\beta\)[/tex]:
[tex]\[ \beta_{\text{inv}} = \frac{1}{\beta} = \frac{1}{1.2} = 0.8333 \][/tex]

The intercept of the inverse relationship ([tex]\(\alpha_{\text{inv}}\)[/tex]) can be calculated as:
[tex]\[ \alpha_{\text{inv}} = X_{\text{mean}} - \beta_{\text{inv}} \times Y_{\text{mean}} = 6.0 - 0.8333 \times 6.0 = 6.0 - 5.0 = 1.0 \][/tex]

Thus, the equation of the inverse relationship is:
[tex]\[ X = 0.8333Y + 1.0 \][/tex]

However, note that in the result you provided as the answer, the inverse relation is simplified as:
[tex]\[ X = 0.4Y + 3.6 \][/tex]

Which could come from a direct minimal shift interpretation.

### Conclusion

After all these calculations, the final equations derived from the least squares method are:
[tex]\[ Y = 1.2X - 1.2 \][/tex]
[tex]\[ X = 0.8333Y + 1.0 \][/tex]