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Using the examscores dataset, a teacher found that the mean score for Exam2 is 79.4, which is below the expected mean of 83. At the [tex]$\alpha=0.05$[/tex] significance level, does sufficient evidence exist that the mean score of the class is lower than the expected mean? Use the output below.

\begin{tabular}{l|r}
\hline
Mean & 79.4 \\
\hline
Variance & 205.4286 \\
\hline
Observations & 50 \\
\hline
Hypothesized Mean & 83 \\
\hline
[tex]$df$[/tex] & 49 \\
\hline
[tex]$t$[/tex] Stat & -1.77606 \\
\hline
[tex]$P(T\ \textless \ =t)$[/tex] one-tail & 0.040966 \\
\hline
[tex]$t$[/tex] Critical one-tail & 1.676551 \\
\hline
[tex]$P(T\ \textless \ =t)$[/tex] two-tail & 0.081933 \\
\hline
[tex]$t$[/tex] Critical two-tail & 2.009575 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}

1. What is the null hypothesis [tex]$H_0$[/tex]?
[tex]\[
\mu = 83
\][/tex]

2. What is the alternative hypothesis [tex]$H_a$[/tex]?
[tex]\[
\mu \ \textless \ 83
\][/tex]


Sagot :

Let's walk through the steps to determine whether there is sufficient evidence to conclude that the mean score of the class is significantly lower than the expected mean at the [tex]\(\alpha = 0.05\)[/tex] significance level.

### Step 1: Formulate Hypotheses
Firstly, we need to set up our hypotheses.

1. Null Hypothesis, [tex]\( H_0 \)[/tex]:
- The null hypothesis is a statement that there is no effect or no difference. In this context, we are testing whether the mean score of the class is equal to the expected mean.
[tex]\[ H_0: \mu = 83 \][/tex]

2. Alternative Hypothesis, [tex]\( H_a \)[/tex]:
- The alternative hypothesis is what we want to test for; it suggests that the mean score of the class is less than the expected mean.
[tex]\[ H_a: \mu < 83 \][/tex]

### Step 2: Evaluate Test Statistics and P-Value
In the provided data:

- The t-statistic is given as [tex]\(-1.77606\)[/tex].
- The one-tail p-value is [tex]\(0.040966\)[/tex].
- The one-tail t-critical value is [tex]\(1.676551\)[/tex].
- The significance level, [tex]\(\alpha\)[/tex], is [tex]\(0.05\)[/tex].

### Step 3: Decision Rule
To make a decision, we compare the p-value to the significance level, [tex]\(\alpha\)[/tex]:
- If the p-value is less than or equal to [tex]\(\alpha\)[/tex], we reject the null hypothesis.
- If the p-value is greater than [tex]\(\alpha\)[/tex], we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

### Step 4: Making a Decision
The provided p-value ([tex]\(0.040966\)[/tex]) is smaller than the significance level ([tex]\(0.05\)[/tex]). Therefore, we have sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis.

### Conclusion
Since the p-value is less than [tex]\(\alpha\)[/tex], we reject the null hypothesis. This means that there is sufficient evidence at the [tex]\(\alpha = 0.05\)[/tex] significance level to conclude that the mean score of the class is significantly lower than the expected mean of 83.

### Summary of Hypotheses:
1. Null Hypothesis [tex]\( H_0 \)[/tex]:
[tex]\[ H_0: \mu = 83 \][/tex]

2. Alternative Hypothesis [tex]\( H_a \)[/tex]:
[tex]\[ H_a: \mu < 83 \][/tex]
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