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Three fair coins are tossed. Find the probability of getting exactly two tails.

A. [tex]\frac{1}{4}[/tex]
B. [tex]\frac{3}{8}[/tex]
C. [tex]\frac{5}{8}[/tex]
D. [tex]\frac{1}{2}[/tex]


Sagot :

To find the probability of getting exactly two tails when three fair coins are tossed, we can use the binomial probability formula. A binomial experiment is characterized by:

1. A fixed number of trials (n).
2. Each trial has two possible outcomes: success or failure.
3. The probability of success (p) is the same for each trial.
4. The trials are independent.

In our scenario:
- Each trial corresponds to one coin toss.
- Success (tail) and failure (head) each have a probability of 0.5.
- There are 3 trials (since three coins are tossed).

We can denote:
- [tex]\( n = 3 \)[/tex] (number of coin tosses)
- [tex]\( k = 2 \)[/tex] (number of tails desired, which we consider as successes)
- [tex]\( p = 0.5 \)[/tex] (probability of getting tails in a single toss)
- [tex]\( q = 1 - p = 0.5 \)[/tex] (probability of getting heads in a single toss)

The binomial probability formula is given by:

[tex]\[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} \cdot p^k \cdot q^{n-k} \][/tex]

Where:
- [tex]\( \binom{n}{k} \)[/tex] is the binomial coefficient, calculated as [tex]\( \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \)[/tex].

Substituting our values into the formula:

[tex]\[ P(X = 2) = \binom{3}{2} \cdot (0.5)^2 \cdot (0.5)^{3-2} \][/tex]

First, calculate the binomial coefficient:

[tex]\[ \binom{3}{2} = \frac{3!}{2!(3-2)!} = \frac{3 \times 2 \times 1}{2 \times 1 \times 1} = 3 \][/tex]

Then, calculate the probability term:

[tex]\[ (0.5)^2 = 0.25 \quad \text{and} \quad (0.5)^{3-2} = (0.5)^1 = 0.5 \][/tex]

Now substitute these values back into the binomial probability formula:

[tex]\[ P(X = 2) = 3 \cdot 0.25 \cdot 0.5 = 3 \cdot 0.125 = 0.375 \][/tex]

So, the probability of getting exactly two tails when three fair coins are tossed is

[tex]\[ P(X = 2) = 0.375 \][/tex]

In fractional form, we can say:

[tex]\[ 0.375 = \frac{3}{8} \][/tex]

Thus, the correct answer is:
[tex]\(\frac{3}{8}\)[/tex]