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Nico owns 11 instructional piano books. Two are beginner books, six are intermediate books, and three are advanced books.

If two books are randomly chosen from the collection, one at a time, and replaced after each pick, what is the probability that he first chooses an advanced book and then chooses a beginner book?

A. [tex]$\frac{5}{121}$[/tex]
B. [tex]$\frac{6}{121}$[/tex]
C. [tex]$\frac{5}{11}$[/tex]
D. [tex]$\frac{6}{11}$[/tex]


Sagot :

To solve this problem step-by-step, let's break it down into manageable parts.

1. Total Number of Books:
Nico has a total of 11 instructional piano books.

2. Category of Books:
- Advanced books: 3
- Beginner books: 2
- Intermediate books: 6

3. First Pick - Probability of Choosing an Advanced Book:
The probability of selecting an advanced book on the first pick is calculated by dividing the number of advanced books by the total number of books:
[tex]\[ P(\text{Advanced Book First}) = \frac{\text{Number of Advanced Books}}{\text{Total Number of Books}} = \frac{3}{11} \][/tex]

4. Second Pick - Probability of Choosing a Beginner Book:
Since the book is replaced after each pick, the total number of books remains the same. The probability of selecting a beginner book on the second pick is:
[tex]\[ P(\text{Beginner Book Second}) = \frac{\text{Number of Beginner Books}}{\text{Total Number of Books}} = \frac{2}{11} \][/tex]

5. Combined Probability:
Since we are looking for the probability of two independent events happening consecutively (choosing an advanced book first and a beginner book second), we multiply the probabilities of these two events:
[tex]\[ P(\text{Advanced then Beginner}) = P(\text{Advanced Book First}) \times P(\text{Beginner Book Second}) \][/tex]
Substituting the values we found:
[tex]\[ P(\text{Advanced then Beginner}) = \left(\frac{3}{11}\right) \times \left(\frac{2}{11}\right) \][/tex]
[tex]\[ P(\text{Advanced then Beginner}) = \frac{3 \times 2}{11 \times 11} = \frac{6}{121} \][/tex]

Therefore, the probability that Nico first chooses an advanced book and then chooses a beginner book is:

[tex]\[ \boxed{\frac{6}{121}} \][/tex]