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A student has to take two quizzes tomorrow. He has only enough time to study for one of them.

- The history quiz has 5 true-or-false questions.
- The science quiz has 3 multiple-choice questions.

The student calculates the probability that he will get all the questions correct by guessing.

\begin{tabular}{|c|c|c|}
\hline & \begin{tabular}{c}
To get 100\% \\
correct:
\end{tabular} & P(guess is correct) \\
\hline History & \begin{tabular}{c}
Answer 5 of 5 \\
correctly.
\end{tabular} & 0.031 \\
\hline Science & \begin{tabular}{c}
Answer 3 of 3 \\
correctly.
\end{tabular} & 0.016 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}

The student will study for the quiz on which he is likely to do worse by guessing. Which quiz should he study for?

A. History, because he must get more questions correct.
B. Science, because the probability of getting all questions correct is 0.016, which is lower than for history (0.031).
C. History, because the probability of getting all questions correct is 0.031, which is lower than for science (0.016).
D. Science, because the probability of getting all questions correct is 0.016, which is lower than for history (0.031).


Sagot :

To determine which quiz the student should study for, we need to compare the probabilities that the student will correctly guess all answers on each quiz.

Step-by-Step Solution:

1. Calculate the probability for the history quiz:
- The history quiz has 5 true-or-false questions.
- For each true-or-false question, the probability of guessing correctly is 0.5.
- The probability of getting all 5 questions correct by guessing is:
[tex]\[ P(\text{History}) = 0.5^5 = 0.03125 \][/tex]

2. Calculate the probability for the science quiz:
- The science quiz has 3 multiple-choice questions.
- For each multiple-choice question, the probability of guessing correctly is 0.25.
- The probability of getting all 3 questions correct by guessing is:
[tex]\[ P(\text{Science}) = 0.25^3 = 0.015625 \][/tex]

3. Compare the probabilities:
- The probability of guessing all questions correctly on the history quiz is 0.03125.
- The probability of guessing all questions correctly on the science quiz is 0.015625.

4. Decision:
- The student should study for the quiz on which the probability of guessing all questions correctly is lower.
- Since [tex]\(0.015625 < 0.03125\)[/tex], the probability of getting all the questions correct by guessing is lower for the science quiz.

Therefore, the student should study for the science quiz.

Correct Answer:
B. Science, because the probability of getting all questions correct is 0.016, which is lower than for history [tex]\(0.031\)[/tex].