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To solve this problem, we need to perform a one-tailed hypothesis test to determine if there is enough evidence at the 0.01 significance level to support the political scientist's claim that more than 75% of college students are interested in their district's election results.
Let's go through the steps in detail:
### (a) State the null hypothesis [tex]\( H_0 \)[/tex] and the alternative hypothesis [tex]\( H_1 \)[/tex].
The null hypothesis ([tex]\( H_0 \)[/tex]) and the alternative hypothesis ([tex]\( H_1 \)[/tex]) are as follows:
[tex]\[ H_0: p = 0.75 \][/tex]
[tex]\[ H_1: p > 0.75 \][/tex]
Here, [tex]\( p \)[/tex] represents the actual proportion of college students who are interested in their district's election results.
### (b) Determine the type of test statistic to use.
Given that we are dealing with proportions and our sample size is large, we will use a z-test for proportions.
### Step-by-Step Solution:
1. Calculate the sample proportion ([tex]\( \hat{p} \)[/tex]):
[tex]\[ \hat{p} = \frac{222}{270} \approx 0.822 \][/tex]
2. Determine the population proportion under the null hypothesis ([tex]\( p \)[/tex]):
[tex]\[ p = 0.75 \][/tex]
3. Calculate the standard error (SE) of the sample proportion:
The standard error of the sample proportion is given by:
[tex]\[ SE = \sqrt{\frac{p(1 - p)}{n}} \][/tex]
where [tex]\( n \)[/tex] is the sample size.
[tex]\[ SE = \sqrt{\frac{0.75 \times (1 - 0.75)}{270}} \approx 0.026 \][/tex]
4. Calculate the test statistic (z):
The z-score is calculated using the formula:
[tex]\[ z = \frac{\hat{p} - p}{SE} \][/tex]
Plugging in our values:
[tex]\[ z = \frac{0.822 - 0.75}{0.026} \approx 2.741 \][/tex]
5. Find the critical value for the one-tailed test at the 0.01 significance level:
For a one-tailed test at the 0.01 significance level, we look up the critical value in the z-table, which corresponds to 2.326.
6. Comparison and Conclusion:
We compare the calculated test statistic (2.741) to the critical value (2.326). If the test statistic is greater than the critical value, we reject the null hypothesis.
Since [tex]\( 2.741 > 2.326 \)[/tex], we reject the null hypothesis.
### Conclusion:
There is enough evidence at the 0.01 significance level to support the political scientist's claim that more than 75% of college students are interested in their district's election results.
Let's go through the steps in detail:
### (a) State the null hypothesis [tex]\( H_0 \)[/tex] and the alternative hypothesis [tex]\( H_1 \)[/tex].
The null hypothesis ([tex]\( H_0 \)[/tex]) and the alternative hypothesis ([tex]\( H_1 \)[/tex]) are as follows:
[tex]\[ H_0: p = 0.75 \][/tex]
[tex]\[ H_1: p > 0.75 \][/tex]
Here, [tex]\( p \)[/tex] represents the actual proportion of college students who are interested in their district's election results.
### (b) Determine the type of test statistic to use.
Given that we are dealing with proportions and our sample size is large, we will use a z-test for proportions.
### Step-by-Step Solution:
1. Calculate the sample proportion ([tex]\( \hat{p} \)[/tex]):
[tex]\[ \hat{p} = \frac{222}{270} \approx 0.822 \][/tex]
2. Determine the population proportion under the null hypothesis ([tex]\( p \)[/tex]):
[tex]\[ p = 0.75 \][/tex]
3. Calculate the standard error (SE) of the sample proportion:
The standard error of the sample proportion is given by:
[tex]\[ SE = \sqrt{\frac{p(1 - p)}{n}} \][/tex]
where [tex]\( n \)[/tex] is the sample size.
[tex]\[ SE = \sqrt{\frac{0.75 \times (1 - 0.75)}{270}} \approx 0.026 \][/tex]
4. Calculate the test statistic (z):
The z-score is calculated using the formula:
[tex]\[ z = \frac{\hat{p} - p}{SE} \][/tex]
Plugging in our values:
[tex]\[ z = \frac{0.822 - 0.75}{0.026} \approx 2.741 \][/tex]
5. Find the critical value for the one-tailed test at the 0.01 significance level:
For a one-tailed test at the 0.01 significance level, we look up the critical value in the z-table, which corresponds to 2.326.
6. Comparison and Conclusion:
We compare the calculated test statistic (2.741) to the critical value (2.326). If the test statistic is greater than the critical value, we reject the null hypothesis.
Since [tex]\( 2.741 > 2.326 \)[/tex], we reject the null hypothesis.
### Conclusion:
There is enough evidence at the 0.01 significance level to support the political scientist's claim that more than 75% of college students are interested in their district's election results.
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