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The population of a small farming town in Texas is modeled by the following equation where [tex]f(t)[/tex] represents the population [tex]t[/tex] years after 2002:

[tex]\[ f(t) = 151000 \cdot (0.962)^t \][/tex]

Based on this model, the population is
- increasing
- decreasing

By what percent? [tex]\square[/tex]

Find the population in 2032. Round your answer to the nearest integer. [tex]\square[/tex]

When will the population of the town be 142,453? Round your answer to the nearest year. [tex]\square[/tex]


Sagot :

To solve the given problems based on the population model [tex]\( f(t) = 151000 \cdot (0.962)^t \)[/tex], let's go through each part step-by-step.

### Part 1: Determining if the population is increasing or decreasing

The population function [tex]\( f(t) = 151000 \cdot (0.962)^t \)[/tex] involves an exponential term [tex]\( (0.962)^t \)[/tex]. Since the base of the exponent (0.962) is less than 1, the exponent is decreasing as [tex]\( t \)[/tex] increases.

So, the population is decreasing.

### Part 2: Calculating the annual percent decrease

The annual decrease factor in the model is 0.962, which means every year the population reaches 96.2% of its value from the previous year.

To find the annual percent decrease:
[tex]\[ \text{Annual percent decrease} = 1 - 0.962 = 0.038 \text{ or } 3.8\% \][/tex]

By what percent? The population is decreasing by 3.8% per year.

### Part 3: Finding the population in 2032

To determine the population in 2032, we need to find [tex]\( t \)[/tex] by calculating the number of years from 2002 to 2032:
[tex]\[ t_{2032} = 2032 - 2002 = 30 \][/tex]

Now we substitute 30 into the population model:
[tex]\[ f(30) = 151000 \cdot (0.962)^{30} \][/tex]

Calculating this, we get:
[tex]\[ f(30) \approx 47231 \][/tex]

So, the population in 2032 is approximately 47,231.

### Part 4: Finding the year when the population will be 142,453

To find when the population will be 142,453, we need to solve the equation:
[tex]\[ 151000 \cdot (0.962)^t = 142453 \][/tex]

Rewriting this equation to solve for [tex]\( t \)[/tex]:
[tex]\[ (0.962)^t = \frac{142453}{151000} \][/tex]

Taking the natural logarithm on both sides:
[tex]\[ t \cdot \ln(0.962) = \ln \left(\frac{142453}{151000}\right) \][/tex]

Solving for [tex]\( t \)[/tex]:
[tex]\[ t = \frac{\ln \left(\frac{142453}{151000}\right)}{\ln (0.962)} \][/tex]

Using a numerical solver, we find:
[tex]\[ t \approx 2 \][/tex]

So the year when the population will be 142,453 is:
[tex]\[ 2002 + 2 = 2004 \][/tex]

Therefore, the population will be 142,453 in the year 2004.